Polymarket Shows July as First Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Deadline Above 50%

Polymarket’s Russia-Ukraine ceasefire contracts showed July 2027 as the earliest deadline above 50% in a check at 2:14 p.m. ET on Oct. 19 (18:14 UTC), with July at 52% versus June’s 49%. Earlier deadlines were lower: the Dec. 31, 2026 contract stood at 15%, and the March 31, 2027 contract at 31%. The Sept. 30, 2027 contract was at 57%, but came after July. Each contract measures the chance of a qualifying agreement by its deadline, not a ceasefire beginning in that month. Cumulative trading volume was $3,771 for July and $165,248 for June. Total volume across the market was $8,848,465. These totals measure trading activity for the contracts, separate from their displayed odds, which can change as trading continues.

BeCrypto News shows a short excerpt and links to the publisher. The full report belongs to TokenPost.