JPMorgan Bitcoin Forecast Gives BTC a Major Edge Over US Stocks

JPMorgan Asset Management’s first long-term Bitcoin forecast puts its annual compounded return at 10% over 10 to 15 years, above projections for U.S. large-cap stocks, REITs, and gold. The forecast gives Bitcoin the highest modeled return among those assets. The Bitcoin estimate appears in the firm’s 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, released October 19 as its 31st annual edition. The outlook covers more than 200 asset classes, and models expected returns over a 10- to 15-year horizon for strategic investment planning. JPMorgan assigns Bitcoin a 10% annual compounded return, compared with 7.5% for U.S. large-cap stocks, 8.2% for U.S. real estate investment trusts and 5.5% for gold. That puts the Bitcoin assumption 2.5 percentage points above large caps, 1.8 points above REITs, and 4.5 points above gold.

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