Bitcoin’s Rare Weekly Death Cross Puts July Low Back in Focus

Bitcoin’s 50-week moving average has crossed below its 100-week average for the fourth identified time, reviving a pattern that appeared near the lows of three completed market cycles. The latest crossover occurred in July 2026, shortly after the summer price trough. That places Bitcoin within a familiar historical sequence, although the summer low remains a candidate cycle bottom. The next stage could take months. In the three earlier episodes, the 50-week average eventually crossed back above the 100-week average approximately nine to 15 months later. Repeating that interval from July would place a potential bullish crossover between April and October 2027. This signal involves simple moving averages of weekly closing prices. The yellow 50-week average reflects roughly one year of trading, while the purple 100-week average covers almost two years.

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