Bitcoin’s 10% annual return assumption leaves a gap with JPMorgan portfolio allocations

Bitcoin received the highest long-term return assumption among major public-market assets but remained outside recommended portfolio allocations, according to an analysis of JPMorgan Asset Management’s research. The finding highlights a gap between institutional support for considering Bitcoin and the decision to commit capital. In an October 22 video, Bitcoin analyst Joe Consorti examined JPMorgan Asset Management’s Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, saying Bitcoin had received a return forecast without inclusion in the framework that determines portfolio allocations. The report assumed a 10% compound annual return for Bitcoin, Consorti said. That exceeded gold at 5.5%, U.S. Treasuries at 5.6–6.6%, a 60–40 stock-and-bond portfolio at 7%, U.S. large-cap stocks at 7.5% and small-cap stocks at 7.7%.

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