10,000 Bitcoin Simulations Say BTC's Median Path to $1M Comes in 2033

Bitcoin (BTC) simulations from on-chain analyst Willy Woo show the median path reaching $1.03 million in February 2033. The same path first falls 43% from its 2028 cycle high. Woo stresses the model is not a prediction, but calls $241,000 to $413,000 a reasonable 2028 top. The 29th percentile path he highlights never reaches $1 million. Holders targeting that level wait more than six years in the median case. What Do the Bitcoin Simulations Assume About Diminishing Returns? Woo built a Monte Carlo simulation, a method that runs thousands of random trials to map possible outcomes. The model trained on prices from the 2018 market bottom to the 2022 bottom. Woo dropped older data, when 100x gains came easily.

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