XRP’s year-end $2 odds plunge 14 points in a day to 20%

The prediction-market probability of XRP reaching $2 by year-end fell 14 percentage points in one day to 20%. Bitcoin’s odds of reaching $100,000 by year-end stood at 27%, while its chance of hitting $87,500 by the end of October was 30%. As of 11:05 UTC on Oct. 15, Bitcoin’s probability of reaching $100,000 by year-end was 27%, down 3 percentage points from the previous day. The probability of reaching the higher $120,000 level was 7%. Ethereum’s year-end probability of reaching $3,500 dropped 6 percentage points in a day to 15%, while XRP’s chance of reaching $2 fell 14 points to 20%. XRP’s year-end outlook has fluctuated sharply in recent weeks. The probability stood at 17% on Aug. 17, climbed to 61% on Sept. 23 and has since retreated to 20%.

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