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Regulation

US Treasury revises auction guidance, hints at bond sale changes in 2027

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The U.S. Treasury has revised its auction guidance language by removing the term “at least” regarding the duration for which current auction sizes will remain unchanged. This adjustment opens the possibility for alterations in long-term bond sales beginning in 2027. The Treasury had previously committed to keeping auction sizes stable for “at least several quarters,” but now indicates that it may reassess this stance as it evaluates issuance composition and borrowing needs. This change comes amidst a backdrop of fluctuating Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield standing at approximately 4.93% as of November 4, reflecting a decline over the past month. Future communications from the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve will be crucial in shaping expectations around bond issuance and yield trajectories.

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