Prediction Markets Signal Potential Democratic Sweep of Congress in Midterms

TL;DR Polymarket gives Democrats a 94% chance of taking the House and a 76% chance of winning the Senate. Kalshi shows similar expectations , with probabilities of 94% and 75%, respectively. A Democratic-controlled Congress could increase crypto oversight, reshape digital asset legislation and intensify scrutiny of Trump-linked crypto businesses. Prediction markets are pointing to a potential Democratic sweep as Americans vote in the 2026 midterm elections. Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi favor Democrats to capture the House, while giving the party an advantage in the Senate. The outcome could reshape Washington’s priorities , including the debate over digital assets . As of Tuesday afternoon, Polymarket priced a Democratic House takeover at 94% and a Senate majority at 76%.

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