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Regulation

California billionaire tax proposal faces fierce opposition ahead of 2026 ballot

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A proposed one-time tax on billionaires in California has sparked significant debate as Proposition 40 heads to the ballot on November 3, 2026. The measure, backed by SEIU United Healthcare Workers West, aims to levy a 5% tax on net worths exceeding $1 billion, with proceeds earmarked for healthcare. However, two counterpropositions, Propositions 41 and 42, could block it if they receive more support. The proposal has prompted intense campaign spending, with over $351 million already invested, predominantly to defeat the tax. Current prediction markets reflect a 22.5% likelihood of the tax passing, suggesting skepticism about its success amid strong opposition. Watch for developments in campaign funding and public support, as these may significantly influence the outcome.

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