IMF warns the risk of an AI-driven stock market correction is rising

Sky-high valuations, rising leverage and a handful of US tech giants carrying the market have the IMF worried about a global sell-off The odds of an AI-fueled stock market crunch are climbing, and the International Monetary Fund is now saying so out loud. In its Global Financial Stability Report, released October 13, 2026, the IMF called an AI-driven correction in global equities a plausible outcome. The fund points to three ingredients that could combine into a significant equity sell-off: high valuations, escalating leverage, and gains concentrated in a small group of US tech giants. AI-related stocks have accounted for 75% of S&P 500 returns since ChatGPT launched in November 2022. They have also delivered 80% of the index’s earnings growth over that period.

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