Goldman Sachs predicts third Fed rate hike in March 2027, cuts in December 2027

Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for U.S. Federal Reserve policy, now anticipating a third interest rate hike in March 2027, followed by rate cuts beginning in December of the same year. This adjustment comes after a series of inflation reports that exceeded expectations, suggesting a more aggressive monetary stance from the Fed. The revised outlook sees the federal funds rate peaking in a range of 4.25% to 4.50%, before easing towards a terminal rate of 3.25% to 3.50% in 2028. Market pricing indicates this could influence expectations for rate hikes in 2026, potentially altering the perceived likelihood of further tightening. Watch for upcoming Federal Reserve meetings and statements for any indication of a shift in policy stance.

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