Galaxy Research Reveals How Conditional Markets Are Expanding Beyond Prediction Trading

TL;DR: Galaxy Research tracked 22 decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) managing $50.5 million through decision markets, with MetaDAO accounting for 78% of the total. Emerging platforms such as Lightcone, Proof, and If Market are developing impact products to assess the effect of events on asset prices. Monthly notional volume in Derive’s options market surged from $1.47 billion in January to $3.82 billion by the end of September 2026. Galaxy Research’s latest research report reveals that conditional markets are expanding beyond traditional prediction trading, driven by novel binding governance mechanisms and corporate hedging models. Prediction markets were just the beginning. Conditional markets, the next generation of event-driven finance, are starting to take shape. Deep dive by @ZackPokorny_ covering where the sector stands, who's building in it, and what's next.

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