From Onchain Earnings to Hack Risk: Why DefiLlama’s Markets Matter

DefiLlama’s new Markets turn its data infrastructure into a live, tradeable signal layer —one that prices both onchain earnings and hack risk in the same venue. The initiative, launched with prediction-market protocol Trueo on Base, matters because it moves DefiLlama from reporting DeFi’s most important metrics to letting the market price them directly . How the Markets Work (Briefly) The current slate covers three broad categories : Revenue markets – six monthly lines: Hyperliquid, Pump, Uniswap, Aero, Papertrade, and Collector Crypt. Exploit / bad-debt markets – e.g., whether Aave or Morpho will be exploited in the current month. Systemic hack markets – weekly markets on whether any +$1M or +$5M hack hits crypto. Trading uses TYD , Trueo’s USDC-backed stablecoin.

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