Fed Rate Decision October 2026: Why Another Rate Hike Is Still on the Table

The Federal Reserve is expected to keep US interest rates unchanged at 3.75%–4.00% on October 28, 2026, but the pause may be temporary. Persistent inflation, resilient economic activity and expectations of another increase in December have shifted the monetary policy debate away from rate cuts. In a Reuters poll conducted October 16–20 , 94 of 100 economists expected the Fed to hold rates at its October meeting. All 100 respondents anticipated an increase in December. The October decision is scheduled for 2 p.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday, followed by Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. For financial markets, the key question is whether policymakers are nearing the end of their tightening cycle or preparing for additional increases.

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