A Bond-Market Signal Last Seen in the 2025 Tariff Shock Just Flashed Again

Global corporate bond yield premiums have climbed to their highest since May 2025, a Bloomberg index shows. In Asia, the strain reached both bonds and stocks on Friday. Spreads on higher-rated Asian dollar bonds hit their widest since last July, while the region’s major stock indexes fell. Bond Investors Retreat From Corporate Risk Those premiums reached as much as 129 basis points as worries over debt-funded artificial intelligence (AI) spending grew. Rising geopolitical tension added pressure and pushed investors toward safer assets. Asian credit moved in line with the global jump in corporate bond premiums. Traders said regional credit-default swaps (CDS) widened about 1.5 basis points to 78 at Friday’s open. But what are credit-default swaps?

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