Bitcoin’s Odds of a November $85,000 Touch Climb to 56% on Polymarket

Polymarket's Bitcoin (BTC) contract for a price touch at $85,000 during the remaining period of November reached a 56% probability, an increase of 23% over 24 hours. The $87,500 threshold was priced at 38%, with that probability up 17% across the same 24-hour span. The outcome depends on one-minute candles for Binance’s BTC/USDT pair. A “Yes” result requires a candle high to meet or exceed the contract’s target between 12 a.m. ET Nov. 1 and 11:59 p.m. ET Nov. 30. Price records from other trading venues or pairs, as well as spot-market readings, are excluded from settlement. A qualifying intramonth high can satisfy the target even if the month-end close is lower; the contract does not require Bitcoin to finish November at either threshold.

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