Bitcoin Prediction Markets Put October Odds of Touching $80,000 Above $92,500

Bitcoin prediction markets are pricing higher October odds for Bitcoin (BTC) to touch or fall below $80,000 than to reach $92,500, putting the downside threshold ahead of the higher target in both markets. Polymarket assigns a 54% probability that Bitcoin will touch $80,000 during October, compared with 19% for reaching $92,500. Its other downside probabilities are 31% for $77,500, 20% for $75,000 and 11% for $72,500. On the upside, the market shows 10% for $95,000 and 4% for $97,500. Kalshi shows a 55% probability that Bitcoin will trade below $80,000 during the month.

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