Bitcoin options carried a far smaller election premium than in 2024

In Block Scholes’ October 26 snapshot, Bitcoin options carried a much smaller election premium ahead of the November 3 US midterms than before the 2024 presidential election. The comparison measures the extra forward volatility priced into the window containing the vote. The Federal Reserve has since held rates at 3.75%–4% on October 28, following its September increase. A report from derivatives research firm Block Scholes , updated October 27, compares Bitcoin options eight days before the 2024 presidential election and the 2026 congressional midterms. Its finding gives holders a reason to focus on what the result changes in investors’ expectations, rather than treating election day itself as a recovery catalyst. The test arrives during an uneven rebound.

BeCrypto News shows a short excerpt and links to the publisher. The full report belongs to CryptoSlate.