Bitcoin Beat the S&P 500 in Half of 90 Sessions Through Nov. 4

Bitcoin (BTC) outperformed the S&P 500 in half of U.S. trading sessions over the 90-session period through Nov. 4, ending a stretch in which it lost more sessions than it won. The 50% figure measures how often Bitcoin beat the index in a session, not its cumulative return over the full period. Bitcoin’s session win rate had not been above 50% since March 2025. Glassnode wrote, “Should the win rate climb above 50% and hold there, it would show Bitcoin regaining strength against equities.” A separate historical comparison covers seven of 26 U.S. midterm elections since 1922, excluding the 2026 election. In those seven cases, Democrats won both the House and Senate while a Republican was president.

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