Kaspa developer targets ownerless prediction market by end-2026

Kaspa developer Manyfest has outlined plans for an ownerless prediction market on the network’s base layer, with tradable outcome tokens and a mainnet release targeted for the end of 2026. The proposed market would let anyone create contracts, trade outcome tokens, and participate in settlement. A lottery would reward holders of losing tokens who vote with the majority on outcomes. Manyfest has warned that smaller markets could be manipulated and participants could lose money. Manyfest, identified as Sivan Helfer on Kaspa’s developer forum, said in a Nov. 11 X post that he has spent the past few months working with Bit Cat (@maxibitcat) to turn the proposal into an Argent application. He described a system with no owner or beneficiary, where only network miners would benefit from its operation.

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